Strat Finance Advisory

Weekly Synthesis

The convergence of technical and fundamental indicators reveals a market in transition, oscillating between traditional September seasonal correction and monetary easing anticipation. Measured volatility (Bitcoin between $108K-$113K) contrasting with sustained volumes suggests constructive consolidation rather than distribution. On-chain metrics confirm this reading with persistent institutional accumulation despite sporadic profit-taking.

Total Market Cap¹

Strategic Importance: Reflects overall health and confidence in the crypto ecosystem.

Weekly Data: Closed on September 7th at $3.83 trillion, down 1.7% from August peak.

Analysis: This consolidation near record levels demonstrates growing market maturity, capable of absorbing selling pressure without collapse. Maintaining above $3.8 trillion constitutes a structural strength signal.

Source: SlickCharts

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)

Strategic Importance: Indicates whether capital flows into Bitcoin (perceived safety) or altcoins (risk appetite).

Weekly Data: Closed on September 7th at 57.3%, down 5 points from previous month.

Analysis: This Bitcoin dominance erosion accompanies rotation toward Ethereum (14.2%) and DeFi protocols, signaling risk appetite and diversification. This movement potentially prefigures an « altseason ».

Source: MacroMicro

Trading Volumes (Spot & Derivatives)

Strategic Importance: Measures market activity and liquidity. Rising volume validates a trend.

Weekly Data: Average daily volume on September 7th: $122 billion, stable compared to previous weeks.

Analysis: Maintaining high volumes during a consolidation phase indicates sustained interest from institutional and retail participants. This liquidity provides a solid foundation for the next directional movement phase.

Source: Yahoo Finance

Total Value Locked (TVL) DeFi

Strategic Importance: Measures actual decentralized finance protocol usage and growing adoption.

Weekly Data: Total TVL on September 7th: $152.15 billion, up 72% since January 2025.

Analysis: This remarkable expansion confirms DeFi ecosystem maturation as a credible alternative to traditional financial services. Protocol diversification (Aave 54%, Maple and Euler ~$3B each) strengthens sector resilience.

Source: Binance Research

Fear & Greed Index

Strategic Importance: Market sentiment gauge, oscillating between extreme fear (0) and extreme greed (100).

Weekly Data: Index on September 7th: 41 (Neutral), up from previous weeks’ 30-35 range.

Analysis: Moving into neutral territory after several weeks of moderate fear suggests sentiment normalization. This intermediate position offers significant rebound potential given positive catalysts.

Source: Phemex

Upcoming Strategic Deadlines

• September 16-17, 2025 – Fed FOMC Meeting: Interest rate decision with 97.6% cut probability. Major impact expected on crypto market liquidity.

Source: Mitrade

• September 12-20, 2025 – Token unlock peak: Maximum concentration period of $4.5 billion monthly unlocks, requiring surveillance on Sui, Arbitrum, LayerZero.

Source: Boxmining

• September 30, 2025 – MiCA deadline and FTX distribution: Dual regulatory and liquidity event likely to influence end-of-month flows.

Source: Boxmining

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Indicators’ Glossary

• Total Market Cap¹: Sum of all cryptocurrency valuations, global indicator of sector size.
• Bitcoin Dominance²: Bitcoin’s relative share in the crypto ecosystem, barometer of investor risk aversion.